Intelligence
DOSSIERS
Deep-dive intelligence files on the major ongoing conflicts, geopolitical tensions, and macro forces shaping global markets. Each dossier is updated weekly with a current situation assessment drawn from that week's daily briefs.
Iran & the Strait of Hormuz
The strategic chokepoint through which ~20% of global oil passes — and Iran's ability to close it.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
Russia–Ukraine War
Europe's largest land war since 1945 — the frontlines, the economics, and the long-term reshaping of NATO and energy markets.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
Israel–Gaza Conflict
The post-October 7 war in Gaza, the regional spillover into Lebanon and Yemen, and the shifting US diplomatic posture.
Updated JUN 29, 2026
Israel–Lebanon & Hezbollah
Israel's northern front — Hezbollah's military capacity, the post-ceasefire dynamic, and the risk of renewed escalation along the Lebanese border.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
US–China–Taiwan
The technology cold war, Taiwan Strait tensions, and the decoupling of the world's two largest economies.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
US Domestic Politics — Trump Era
The second Trump administration: tariffs, institutional pressure, and the domestic policy shifts reshaping global markets.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
NATO & European Security
European rearmament, NATO cohesion under US pressure, and the continent's pivot to strategic autonomy.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
Global Macro Outlook 2026
Inflation, central bank cycles, dollar dynamics, and the key macro forces driving asset prices in 2026.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
Federal Reserve & Rate Cycle
Fed policy path, the inflation vs growth tradeoff, and how rate expectations are driving asset prices across every major class.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
US Dollar & Global Liquidity
DXY dynamics, dollar strength cycles, and their cascading impact on EM currencies, commodities, and global risk appetite.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
Commodities Supercycle
Oil, gold, copper, and agricultural markets — supply disruptions, energy transition demand, and the structural forces behind the commodity bull case.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
AI & Semiconductors
The AI investment boom, chip supply chains, NVIDIA's dominance, and the infrastructure race defining the next computing cycle.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
US Equities Outlook
S&P 500 and Nasdaq valuations, sector rotation signals, earnings trends, and the macro forces shaping US equity direction.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
Global Energy Sector
Oil majors, OPEC+ strategy, energy transition investment flows, and the geopolitics of energy supply reshaping sector returns.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
Gold & Hard Assets
Gold's role as a macro hedge, central bank buying trends, real yield dynamics, and the case for hard assets in a deglobalising world.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
Bitcoin Cycle
BTC price action, post-halving dynamics, spot ETF flows, institutional adoption, and the macro drivers of the current Bitcoin cycle.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
Ethereum & Layer 2s
ETH fundamentals, staking yields, the rollup ecosystem, and the competitive dynamics between L2s vying for DeFi and consumer app dominance.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
Crypto Regulation
Global regulatory developments — SEC enforcement, stablecoin legislation, MiCA in Europe, and how policy is reshaping the investable crypto universe.
Updated JUL 25, 2026
Solana
SOL's rise as Ethereum's primary competitor — high-throughput architecture, the consumer app ecosystem, memecoins, and what it means for the L1 landscape.
Updated JUN 29, 2026
DeFi & Perp DEXs
Hyperliquid, the on-chain derivatives market, DeFi protocol revenues, and the structural shift of trading volume from CeFi to DeFi.
Updated JUL 25, 2026